5th Annual Pacific Northwest
Climate Science Conference

September 9-10, 2014


Overview  |  ✓ Oral Presentations  |  Poster Session

Sept 9-10, 2014  •  Kane Hall
Full Program (PDF)  |  Conference YouTube Channel

Built Environment
Human Health
Hydrology & Water Resources
Pacific Northwest Climate

Shorelines, Oceans, & Marine Ecosystems
Terrestrial & Aquatic Ecosystems
Working Across Boundaries

Opening Plenary (8:30 am – 12:15 pm, KNE 130)

8:30-8:40 Conference Welcome
Eric Salathé, UW and Conference Chair
8:40-9:20 The global view: The IPCC Fifth Assessment and Climate "Hot Topics"
Dennis Hartmann, University of Washington [pdf, video]
9:20-10:20 Pacific Northwest Climate Change: a Review and Preview
• Observed and projected changes in PNW climate — John Abatzoglou, University of Idaho [abstract, pdf, video]
• Key findings from the PNW chapter of the National Climate Assessment — Amy Snover, UW Climate Impacts Group [pdf, video]
10:20-10:50 Break
10:50-11:30 Possible, but Likely? Assessing the Socio-economic and Technological Assumptions Underlying Energy-emissions Scenarios
Steve Davis, UC Irvine [abstract, pdf, video]
11:30-12:10 Climate Change Impacts: An "Apptitude" for Resilience
John Yaist, Esri [abstract, pdf, video]
12:10-12:15 Morning Plenary Close and Preview for the Afternoon
12:15-1:30 Lunch (provided)
Conference participants are free to eat lunch outside. Seating is also available in KNE 225 and the By George Café (ground floor of Odegaard Library, across from Meany).

TUESDAY: Concurrent Sessions (1:30 – 3:30 pm)

1:30-1:40 Session opening comments
1:40-2:00 KNE 120 Glacial Record of Climate Change in Pacific NorthwestJon Riedel, National Park Service [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 220 Relative Climate Change Sensitivity of Species in the Pacific NorthwestMichael J. Case, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 225 Assessing the Vulnerability of Wastewater Facilities to Sea-Level RiseJohn Phillips, King County [abstract, pdf, video]
2:00-2:20 KNE 120 Climate Change Impacts on Glacier Melt, Stream Temperature, and Discharge in the Headwaters of the Nooksack River, WAOliver Grah, Nooksack Indian Tribe [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 220 Evaluating Climate Change Vulnerability in the Pacific Northwest: Integrated Assessments of Potential Ecological Change in Three Case Study LandscapesJulia L. Michalak, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 225 The Sound Transit Climate Risk Reduction ProjectLara Whitely Binder, UW Climate Impacts Group [abstract, pdf, video]
2:20-2:40 KNE 120 Regional Patterns of Evolving Glacio-Hydrologic Processes in the Pacific Northwest Chris Frans, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 220 The Interacting Roles of Climate and Soil in Plant Species Range Shifts in the Subalpine and Alpine Meadows of Mount Rainier National ParkKevin Ford, USDA Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 225 Addressing Climate Change in Design and Maintenance of Provincial Highways in BCThomas White, British Columbia Ministry of Transportation and Infrastructure
2:40-3:00 KNE 120 A Macroscale Glacier Model to Evaluate Climate Change Impacts in Columbia River BasinJoseph Hamman, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 220 Climate Change Effects and Adaptation Approaches for Terrestrial Ecosystems, Habitats, and Species in Pacific North AmericaPatricia Tillmann, EnviroIssues (formerly with National Wildlife Federation) [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 225 Rainfall-Triggered Landslides in the PNW: Future Hazards and RisksRonda Strauch, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
3:00-3:30 Break

TUESDAY: Concurrent Sessions (3:30 – 5:00 pm)


KNE 225 From Science to Practice and Back to Science: Preparing for Sea Level Rise in British Columbia
Facilitated by: Jenny Fraser, BC Climate Action Secretariat
  • Sea Level Rise Adaptation: the Science-Policy Interface in British ColumbiaThomas White, British Columbia Ministry of Environment [abstract]
  • Science and Policy on the Ground: Implementing Vancouver's Adaptation StrategyBrad Badelt, City of Vancouver [pdf]
  • Beyond the Dykes - Preparing Surrey for the Potential Impacts of Sea Level RiseCarrie Baron, City of Surrey [pdf, video]
  • Adaptation of Waterfront Development to Sea Level Rise – Case Studies in Science to Practice and Back to ScienceDavid J. Reid, Golder Associates [pdf]
3:30-3:50 KNE 120 Persistent High Pressure over the NE Pacific during the Winter of 2013-14: Upper Ocean Response and Implications for the Weather of the Pacific Northwest in Summer 2014Nicholas A. Bond, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 110 How Much Has Snowpack Declined in the Western USA?Darrin J. Sharp, Oregon State University; Philip Mote, Oregon Climate Change Research Institute [abstract, video]
KNE 220 A Comprehensive Review of 1300 Papers on Climate Impacts on Salmon: What Have We Learned in the Last 5 Years?Lisa G. Crozier, NOAA-Fisheries [abstract, pdf, video]
3:50-4:10 KNE 120 Extreme Weather Trends over the Pacific NorthwestCliff Mass, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 110 Does Snowpack Sensitivity to Warming Temperature Differ Across the East/West Divide of the Cascade Mountains?Matthew G. Cooper, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 220 Assessing Climate-Change Risks to Cultural and Natural Resources in the Yakima River Basin, Washington, USAJill Hardiman, U.S. Geological Survey [abstract, pdf, video]
4:10-4:30 KNE 120 Changes in Pacific Northwest Heat Waves under Anthropogenic Global WarmingMatthew Brewer, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 110 Black Carbon and Dust Deposition on Seasonal Snow and Glaciers in Washington State: Implications for Water ResourcesSusan Kaspari, Central Washington University [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 220 Riparian Climate-Corridors – Identifying Priority Areas for Conservation in a Changing ClimateMead Krosby, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
4:30-4:50 KNE 120 Elevational Dependence of Climate Variability and Trends in British Columbia's Cariboo Mountains, 1950-2010Aseem Raj Sharma, University of Northern British Columbia [abstract, pdf]
KNE 110 The Value of Stored Water to Summertime Recreational Uses of Reservoirs in the Willamette River BasinKathleen Moore, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 220 Contributions of Interdisciplinary Social Science for Advancing Climate Adaptation ResearchShannon Hagerman, University of British Columbia [abstract, pdf]
4:50-5:00 Day 1 session closing comments; day 2 preview
5:00-5:15 Break / Transition to Poster Session

WEDNESDAY: Opening Plenary (8:30 – 9:30 am, KNE 120)

8:30-9:30 Dancing with the Management Stars: Science-Management Partnerships That Provide Actionable Science
Facilitated by: Nicole DeCrappeo, DOI Northwest Climate Science Center [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Finding A Common Language: Building Science to Match Forest Planning Needs in Southwest OregonEmilie Henderson, Institute for Natural Resources, and Terry Fairbanks, Bureau of Land Management [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Salt Marsh Management And The Coastal Ecosystem Response To Climate Change: A Bottom-Up Approach For Informing Adaptation StrategiesKaren Thorne, USGS Western Ecological Research Center and Roy Lowe, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Forest Gaps and Data Gaps: Choosing Relevant Sites and Strategies for Collecting Actionable DataSusan Dickerson-Lange, University of Washington and Rolf Gersonde, Seattle Public Utilities [abstract, pdf, video]
9:30-9:40 Break / Transition to Concurrent Sessions

WEDNESDAY: Concurrent Sessions (9:40 – 10:40 am)

9:40-10:00 KNE 120 New Views on Future Northwest ClimateDavid Rupp, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 110 Howard Hanson Dam, Green River, Washington, Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation StudyKevin P. Shaffer, P.E., U.S. Army Corps of Engineers [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 220 Snow-Forest Interactions Along an Elevation Gradient in the Oregon Cascades: Implications for Forest ManagementAnne W. Nolin, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
10:00-10:20 KNE 120 New Views of Regional Climate Change: The Advantages of a Super EnsemblePhilip Mote and Christian McGillen, Oregon Climate Change Research Institute [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 110 Piloting Utility Modeling Applications: The Co-Production of Water Utility Climate Change Impact Assessment between Seattle Public Utilities and the Climate Impacts Research ConsortiumJoan Kersnar, Seattle Public Utilities [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 220 Will Climate Change Increase the Occurrence of Very Large Fires in the Northwestern United States?John Abatzoglou, University of Idaho [abstract, pdf, video]
10:20-10:40 KNE 120 Selecting Climate Change Scenarios Using Impact-Relevant SensitivitiesJulie Vano, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 110 Piloting Utility Modeling Applications: Evaluation and Examination of Custom-Downscaled CMIP5 Global Climate Model Data Supporting Seattle Public Utilities's Climate Change Impact AssessmentMeghan Dalton, Oregon Climate Change Research Institute [abstract, pdf, video]
KNE 220 Current, Historical, and Future Weather Suitability for Mountain Pine Beetle Outbreaks in Lodgepole Pine ForestsPolly Buotte, University of Idaho [abstract]
10:40-11:00 Break

WEDNESDAY: Concurrent Sessions (11:00 am – 12:30 pm)


KNE 110 Interactions of Climate and Land Use Change with Water Resources in the Pacific Northwest
Facilitated by: Roy Haggerty, Oregon State University [abstract]
  • Willamette Water 2100: Anticipating Water Scarcity and Informing Integrative Water System Response in the Pacific NorthwestRoy Haggerty, Oregon State University
  • BioEarth: Envisioning and Developing a New Regional Earth System Model to Inform Natural and Agricultural Resource ManagementJenny Adam, Washington State University [abstract, pdf, video]
  • WISDM: Understanding Feedbacks Between Human and Natural Systems through Changes in the Institutions of Water Resource ManagementMichael Brady, Washington State University [pdf, video]

KNE 220 Climate Adaptation & Pacific Northwest Freshwater Wetlands: Strengthening Links between Science and Management
Facilitated by: Amanda Kissel, University of Washington & Simon Fraser University
  • Wetlands and Climate Change: Bridging the gaps in science and on-the-ground adaptationMaureen Ryan and Meghan Halabisky, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Evaluating Climate Change Effects on Wetlands with Field Surveys and/or Remote Sensing TechniquesSe-Yeun Lee, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Wetlands and Climate Adaptation in the National ParksRegina Rochefort and Barbara Samora, National Park Service [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Managing for Wetlands Resilience at the US Fish & Wildlife ServiceMike Rule, USFWS [abstract, pdf, video]

KNE 225 Preparing Seattle for Climate Change: Lessons Learned from Adaptation at the Local Level
Facilitated by: Crystal Raymond, Seattle City Light
  • From Glaciers to Grids: Preparing for Climate Change at Seattle City LightCrystal Raymond, Seattle City Light [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Building Adaptive Capacity at Seattle Public UtilitiesPaul Fleming, Seattle Public Utilities [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Climate Adaptation in Municipal Watershed EcosystemsAmy LaBarge, Seattle Public Utilities [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Preparing Seattle for Climate ChangeValerie Pacino, City of Seattle [abstract, pdf, video]
11:00-11:20 KNE 120 Carbon Chemistry Observations in the Salish Sea: Evidence for Upwelling Influence and Implications of Sills for Ocean Acidification EffectsJan Newton, University of Washington [abstract]
11:20-11:40 KNE 120 Climate Change and Wind Intensification in Coastal Upwelling EcosystemsSarah Ann Thompson, Farallon Institute for Advanced Ecosystem Research [abstract, pdf, video]
11:40-12:00 KNE 120 Climate-linked Mechanisms Driving Spatial and Temporal Variation in Eelgrass (Zostera marina L.) Growth and Assemblage Structure in Pacific Northwest EstuariesRonald Thom, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory [abstract, pdf, video]
12:00-12:20 KNE 120 The Hydrodynamic Response of Pacific Northwest Estuaries to Climate Change-Driven Boundary ConditionsDavid Hill, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
12:20-12:30 KNE 120 Additional Q&A time
12:30-1:30 Lunch (provided)
Conference participants are free to eat lunch outside. Seating is also available in KNE 225 and the By George Café (ground floor of Odegaard Library, across from Meany). Please return promptly for Keynote Address at 1:30.

WEDNESDAY: Keynote Address (1:30 – 1:50 pm, KNE 130)

1:30-1:50 Keynote Address from Washington State Governor Jay Inslee [video]
Increasing resilience in Washington State and the Pacific Northwest
1:50-2:10 Break

WEDNESDAY: Concurrent Sessions (2:10 – 3:50 pm)


KNE 110 Extreme Precipitation, Sea Level Rise, and Flood Management in the Lower Snohomish River Basin
Facilitated by: Guillaume Mauger, UW Climate Impacts Group
  • Extreme Precipitation in the Northwest: Implications for the Snohomish River BasinEric Salathé, UW Climate Impacts Group [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Flooding in the Lower Snohomish: Sea Level Rise, River Flooding, and InundationGuillaume Mauger, UW Climate Impacts Group [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Floodplain Resilience: A Tool to Support Multi-objective Decision-making in FloodplainsJulie Morse, The Nature Conservancy [abstract, pdf, video]
  • Flood Management in the Lower Snohomish: Challenges and OpportunitiesDebbie Terwilleger, Snohomish County [pdf, video]

KNE 220 Confronting Climate Change Heat-Health Risks in the Pacific Northwest
Facilitated by: Michael Yost, University of Washington [abstract]
2:10-2:30 KNE 120 The Carbon Sequestration Benefits of Large Scale Tidal Wetlands Restoration in Puget Sound: A Case Study of the Snohomish EstuarySteve Crooks, Environmental Science Associates [abstract, pdf, video]
2:30-2:50 KNE 120 Using Inundation Modeling and Sum Exceedance Values to Predict Wetland Land Cover Distribution under Alternative Sea Level Rise and Tide Gate Management ScenariosHeida L. Diefenderfer, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory [abstract, pdf]
2:50-3:10 KNE 120 Developing a Time of Emergence Approach to Sea-Level Rise AdaptationJames Rufo-Hill, Seattle Public Utilities [abstract, pdf, video]
3:10-3:30 KNE 120 Salt Marsh Response to Dike Removal: Implications for Future Sea Level RiseMartin Lafrenz, Portland State University [abstract, video]
3:30-3:45 Break

WEDNESDAY: Closing Plenary (3:45 – 5:00 pm, KNE 120)

3:45-4:15 Pioneering Public Perception of Climate Change and Agriculture in the Pacific Northwest
Leigh A. Bernacchi, University of Idaho [abstract, video]
4:15-4:45 Including Indicators of Indigenous Community Health in Climate Change Impact Assessments
Larry Campbell, Swinomish Indian Tribal Community, and Eric Grossman, USGS [abstract, pdf, video]
4:45-5:00 Conference Close
Eric Salathé, UW, and Conference Chair


Twitter: #PNWCSC14
See information about past conferences here: 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010.

Questions? Contact Lara Whitely Binder, Climate Impacts Group, lwb123@uw.edu