Pacific Northwest Climate Conference

Opening Plenary (8:30 am – 12:15 pm, KNE 130)

8:30-8:40	Conference Welcome Eric Salathé, UW and Conference Chair
8:40-9:20	The global view: The IPCC Fifth Assessment and Climate "Hot Topics" Dennis Hartmann, University of Washington [pdf, video]
9:20-10:20	Pacific Northwest Climate Change: a Review and Preview • Observed and projected changes in PNW climate — John Abatzoglou, University of Idaho [abstract, pdf, video] • Key findings from the PNW chapter of the National Climate Assessment — Amy Snover, UW Climate Impacts Group [pdf, video]
10:20-10:50	Break
10:50-11:30	Possible, but Likely? Assessing the Socio-economic and Technological Assumptions Underlying Energy-emissions Scenarios Steve Davis, UC Irvine [abstract, pdf, video]
11:30-12:10	Climate Change Impacts: An "Apptitude" for Resilience John Yaist, Esri [abstract, pdf, video]
12:10-12:15	Morning Plenary Close and Preview for the Afternoon
12:15-1:30	Lunch (provided) Conference participants are free to eat lunch outside. Seating is also available in KNE 225 and the By George Café (ground floor of Odegaard Library, across from Meany).

Tuesday Afternoon

TUESDAY: Concurrent Sessions (1:30 – 3:30 pm)

1:30-1:40	Session opening comments
1:40-2:00	KNE 120	Glacial Record of Climate Change in Pacific Northwest — Jon Riedel, National Park Service [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 220	Relative Climate Change Sensitivity of Species in the Pacific Northwest — Michael J. Case, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 225	Assessing the Vulnerability of Wastewater Facilities to Sea-Level Rise — John Phillips, King County [abstract, pdf, video]
2:00-2:20	KNE 120	Climate Change Impacts on Glacier Melt, Stream Temperature, and Discharge in the Headwaters of the Nooksack River, WA — Oliver Grah, Nooksack Indian Tribe [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 220	Evaluating Climate Change Vulnerability in the Pacific Northwest: Integrated Assessments of Potential Ecological Change in Three Case Study Landscapes — Julia L. Michalak, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 225	The Sound Transit Climate Risk Reduction Project — Lara Whitely Binder, UW Climate Impacts Group [abstract, pdf, video]
2:20-2:40	KNE 120	Regional Patterns of Evolving Glacio-Hydrologic Processes in the Pacific Northwest — Chris Frans, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 220	The Interacting Roles of Climate and Soil in Plant Species Range Shifts in the Subalpine and Alpine Meadows of Mount Rainier National Park — Kevin Ford, USDA Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 225	Addressing Climate Change in Design and Maintenance of Provincial Highways in BC — Thomas White, British Columbia Ministry of Transportation and Infrastructure
2:40-3:00	KNE 120	A Macroscale Glacier Model to Evaluate Climate Change Impacts in Columbia River Basin — Joseph Hamman, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 220	Climate Change Effects and Adaptation Approaches for Terrestrial Ecosystems, Habitats, and Species in Pacific North America — Patricia Tillmann, EnviroIssues (formerly with National Wildlife Federation) [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 225	Rainfall-Triggered Landslides in the PNW: Future Hazards and Risks — Ronda Strauch, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
3:00-3:30	Break

TUESDAY: Concurrent Sessions (3:30 – 5:00 pm)

3:30-5:00 SPECIAL SESSION	KNE 225	From Science to Practice and Back to Science: Preparing for Sea Level Rise in British Columbia Facilitated by: Jenny Fraser, BC Climate Action Secretariat Sea Level Rise Adaptation: the Science-Policy Interface in British Columbia — Thomas White, British Columbia Ministry of Environment [abstract] Science and Policy on the Ground: Implementing Vancouver's Adaptation Strategy — Brad Badelt, City of Vancouver [pdf] Beyond the Dykes - Preparing Surrey for the Potential Impacts of Sea Level Rise — Carrie Baron, City of Surrey [pdf, video] Adaptation of Waterfront Development to Sea Level Rise – Case Studies in Science to Practice and Back to Science — David J. Reid, Golder Associates [pdf]
3:30-3:50	KNE 120	Persistent High Pressure over the NE Pacific during the Winter of 2013-14: Upper Ocean Response and Implications for the Weather of the Pacific Northwest in Summer 2014 — Nicholas A. Bond, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 110	How Much Has Snowpack Declined in the Western USA? — Darrin J. Sharp, Oregon State University; Philip Mote, Oregon Climate Change Research Institute [abstract, video]
	KNE 220	A Comprehensive Review of 1300 Papers on Climate Impacts on Salmon: What Have We Learned in the Last 5 Years? — Lisa G. Crozier, NOAA-Fisheries [abstract, pdf, video]
3:50-4:10	KNE 120	Extreme Weather Trends over the Pacific Northwest — Cliff Mass, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 110	Does Snowpack Sensitivity to Warming Temperature Differ Across the East/West Divide of the Cascade Mountains? — Matthew G. Cooper, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 220	Assessing Climate-Change Risks to Cultural and Natural Resources in the Yakima River Basin, Washington, USA — Jill Hardiman, U.S. Geological Survey [abstract, pdf, video]
4:10-4:30	KNE 120	Changes in Pacific Northwest Heat Waves under Anthropogenic Global Warming — Matthew Brewer, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 110	Black Carbon and Dust Deposition on Seasonal Snow and Glaciers in Washington State: Implications for Water Resources — Susan Kaspari, Central Washington University [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 220	Riparian Climate-Corridors – Identifying Priority Areas for Conservation in a Changing Climate — Mead Krosby, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video]
4:30-4:50	KNE 120	Elevational Dependence of Climate Variability and Trends in British Columbia's Cariboo Mountains, 1950-2010 — Aseem Raj Sharma, University of Northern British Columbia [abstract, pdf]
	KNE 110	The Value of Stored Water to Summertime Recreational Uses of Reservoirs in the Willamette River Basin — Kathleen Moore, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 220	Contributions of Interdisciplinary Social Science for Advancing Climate Adaptation Research — Shannon Hagerman, University of British Columbia [abstract, pdf]
4:50-5:00	Day 1 session closing comments; day 2 preview
5:00-5:15	Break / Transition to Poster Session

Wednesday Morning

WEDNESDAY: Opening Plenary (8:30 – 9:30 am, KNE 120)

8:30-9:30

Dancing with the Management Stars: Science-Management Partnerships That Provide Actionable Science
Facilitated by: Nicole DeCrappeo, DOI Northwest Climate Science Center [abstract, pdf, video]

Finding A Common Language: Building Science to Match Forest Planning Needs in Southwest Oregon — Emilie Henderson, Institute for Natural Resources, and Terry Fairbanks, Bureau of Land Management [abstract, pdf, video]
Salt Marsh Management And The Coastal Ecosystem Response To Climate Change: A Bottom-Up Approach For Informing Adaptation Strategies — Karen Thorne, USGS Western Ecological Research Center and Roy Lowe, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service [abstract, pdf, video]
Forest Gaps and Data Gaps: Choosing Relevant Sites and Strategies for Collecting Actionable Data — Susan Dickerson-Lange, University of Washington and Rolf Gersonde, Seattle Public Utilities [abstract, pdf, video]

9:30-9:40

Break / Transition to Concurrent Sessions

WEDNESDAY: Concurrent Sessions (9:40 – 10:40 am)

9:40-10:00	KNE 120	New Views on Future Northwest Climate — David Rupp, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 110	Howard Hanson Dam, Green River, Washington, Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Study — Kevin P. Shaffer, P.E., U.S. Army Corps of Engineers [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 220	Snow-Forest Interactions Along an Elevation Gradient in the Oregon Cascades: Implications for Forest Management — Anne W. Nolin, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
10:00-10:20	KNE 120	New Views of Regional Climate Change: The Advantages of a Super Ensemble — Philip Mote and Christian McGillen, Oregon Climate Change Research Institute [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 110	Piloting Utility Modeling Applications: The Co-Production of Water Utility Climate Change Impact Assessment between Seattle Public Utilities and the Climate Impacts Research Consortium — Joan Kersnar, Seattle Public Utilities [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 220	Will Climate Change Increase the Occurrence of Very Large Fires in the Northwestern United States? — John Abatzoglou, University of Idaho [abstract, pdf, video]
10:20-10:40	KNE 120	Selecting Climate Change Scenarios Using Impact-Relevant Sensitivities — Julie Vano, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 110	Piloting Utility Modeling Applications: Evaluation and Examination of Custom-Downscaled CMIP5 Global Climate Model Data Supporting Seattle Public Utilities's Climate Change Impact Assessment — Meghan Dalton, Oregon Climate Change Research Institute [abstract, pdf, video]
	KNE 220	Current, Historical, and Future Weather Suitability for Mountain Pine Beetle Outbreaks in Lodgepole Pine Forests — Polly Buotte, University of Idaho [abstract]
10:40-11:00	Break

WEDNESDAY: Concurrent Sessions (11:00 am – 12:30 pm)

11:00-12:30 SPECIAL SESSION	KNE 110	Interactions of Climate and Land Use Change with Water Resources in the Pacific Northwest Facilitated by: Roy Haggerty, Oregon State University [abstract] Willamette Water 2100: Anticipating Water Scarcity and Informing Integrative Water System Response in the Pacific Northwest — Roy Haggerty, Oregon State University BioEarth: Envisioning and Developing a New Regional Earth System Model to Inform Natural and Agricultural Resource Management — Jenny Adam, Washington State University [abstract, pdf, video] WISDM: Understanding Feedbacks Between Human and Natural Systems through Changes in the Institutions of Water Resource Management — Michael Brady, Washington State University [pdf, video]
11:00-12:30 SPECIAL SESSION	KNE 220	Climate Adaptation & Pacific Northwest Freshwater Wetlands: Strengthening Links between Science and Management Facilitated by: Amanda Kissel, University of Washington & Simon Fraser University Wetlands and Climate Change: Bridging the gaps in science and on-the-ground adaptation — Maureen Ryan and Meghan Halabisky, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video] Evaluating Climate Change Effects on Wetlands with Field Surveys and/or Remote Sensing Techniques — Se-Yeun Lee, University of Washington [abstract, pdf, video] Wetlands and Climate Adaptation in the National Parks — Regina Rochefort and Barbara Samora, National Park Service [abstract, pdf, video] Managing for Wetlands Resilience at the US Fish & Wildlife Service — Mike Rule, USFWS [abstract, pdf, video]
11:00-12:30 SPECIAL SESSION	KNE 225	Preparing Seattle for Climate Change: Lessons Learned from Adaptation at the Local Level Facilitated by: Crystal Raymond, Seattle City Light From Glaciers to Grids: Preparing for Climate Change at Seattle City Light — Crystal Raymond, Seattle City Light [abstract, pdf, video] Building Adaptive Capacity at Seattle Public Utilities — Paul Fleming, Seattle Public Utilities [abstract, pdf, video] Climate Adaptation in Municipal Watershed Ecosystems — Amy LaBarge, Seattle Public Utilities [abstract, pdf, video] Preparing Seattle for Climate Change — Valerie Pacino, City of Seattle [abstract, pdf, video]
11:00-11:20	KNE 120	Carbon Chemistry Observations in the Salish Sea: Evidence for Upwelling Influence and Implications of Sills for Ocean Acidification Effects — Jan Newton, University of Washington [abstract]
11:20-11:40	KNE 120	Climate Change and Wind Intensification in Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems — Sarah Ann Thompson, Farallon Institute for Advanced Ecosystem Research [abstract, pdf, video]
11:40-12:00	KNE 120	*Climate-linked Mechanisms Driving Spatial and Temporal Variation in Eelgrass (Zostera marina L.) Growth and Assemblage Structure in Pacific Northwest Estuaries* — Ronald Thom, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory [abstract, pdf, video]
12:00-12:20	KNE 120	The Hydrodynamic Response of Pacific Northwest Estuaries to Climate Change-Driven Boundary Conditions — David Hill, Oregon State University [abstract, pdf, video]
12:20-12:30	KNE 120	Additional Q&A time
12:30-1:30	Lunch (provided) Conference participants are free to eat lunch outside. Seating is also available in KNE 225 and the By George Café (ground floor of Odegaard Library, across from Meany). Please return promptly for Keynote Address at 1:30.

Wednesday Afternoon

WEDNESDAY: Keynote Address (1:30 – 1:50 pm, KNE 130)

1:30-1:50	Keynote Address from Washington State Governor Jay Inslee [video] Increasing resilience in Washington State and the Pacific Northwest
1:50-2:10	Break

WEDNESDAY: Concurrent Sessions (2:10 – 3:50 pm)

2:10-3:30 SPECIAL SESSION	KNE 110	Extreme Precipitation, Sea Level Rise, and Flood Management in the Lower Snohomish River Basin Facilitated by: Guillaume Mauger, UW Climate Impacts Group Extreme Precipitation in the Northwest: Implications for the Snohomish River Basin — Eric Salathé, UW Climate Impacts Group [abstract, pdf, video] Flooding in the Lower Snohomish: Sea Level Rise, River Flooding, and Inundation — Guillaume Mauger, UW Climate Impacts Group [abstract, pdf, video] Floodplain Resilience: A Tool to Support Multi-objective Decision-making in Floodplains — Julie Morse, The Nature Conservancy [abstract, pdf, video] Flood Management in the Lower Snohomish: Challenges and Opportunities — Debbie Terwilleger, Snohomish County [pdf, video]
2:10-3:30 SPECIAL SESSION	KNE 220	Confronting Climate Change Heat-Health Risks in the Pacific Northwest Facilitated by: Michael Yost, University of Washington [abstract] Preparing for Extreme Heat Events in Washington State: Historical Health Outcomes, Heat-Risk Mapping, and Public Health Policy Development — Tania Busch Isaksen, Miriam Calkins, Michael Yost, Brendon Haggerty, Jerrod Davis [abstract, Calkins pdf, Calkins video, Davis pdf, Davis video, Haggerty pdf, Haggerty video]
2:10-2:30	KNE 120	The Carbon Sequestration Benefits of Large Scale Tidal Wetlands Restoration in Puget Sound: A Case Study of the Snohomish Estuary — Steve Crooks, Environmental Science Associates [abstract, pdf, video]
2:30-2:50	KNE 120	Using Inundation Modeling and Sum Exceedance Values to Predict Wetland Land Cover Distribution under Alternative Sea Level Rise and Tide Gate Management Scenarios — Heida L. Diefenderfer, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory [abstract, pdf]
2:50-3:10	KNE 120	Developing a Time of Emergence Approach to Sea-Level Rise Adaptation — James Rufo-Hill, Seattle Public Utilities [abstract, pdf, video]
3:10-3:30	KNE 120	Salt Marsh Response to Dike Removal: Implications for Future Sea Level Rise — Martin Lafrenz, Portland State University [abstract, video]
3:30-3:45	Break

WEDNESDAY: Closing Plenary (3:45 – 5:00 pm, KNE 120)

3:45-4:15	Pioneering Public Perception of Climate Change and Agriculture in the Pacific Northwest Leigh A. Bernacchi, University of Idaho [abstract, video]
4:15-4:45	Including Indicators of Indigenous Community Health in Climate Change Impact Assessments Larry Campbell, Swinomish Indian Tribal Community, and Eric Grossman, USGS [abstract, pdf, video]
4:45-5:00	Conference Close Eric Salathé, UW, and Conference Chair

Program

Overview | ✓ Oral Presentations | Poster Session